Mike:
As I am sure you know, Sally just increased to Cat. 2 (100 mph) at 1700 EDT advisory. Probably will increase to Cat. 3 (above 110) later tonight or tomorrow a.m. because it is moving very slowly now (6 mph).
Captain Hook it looks like NOLA may be spared the worst of Sally as NOLA takes on the west side of her - assuming, of course, current projected course and speed. Of course, it does not help NOLA's situation that "Jimmy C." booked motel rooms around NOLA. Like Mike said, you may want to "run like hell". That would be my advise to Mike at this point.
As Mike well knows, this is a classic Gulf waters hurricane. The water is very, very warm; the movement is very slow and the system has both the time and the incentive to increase in strength. Sally went from a weak TS to a major H in less than 36 hours.
Here we go again
Moderator: bobdugan
-
Sea Hunt Video
- Posts: 2561
- Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
- Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week
Re: Here we go again
Fair winds,
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Re: Here we go again
Roberto,
No plans to leave... but we will probably have a lot of clean up to do next week.
Here's a status from 1600 CDT. Notice the back & forth "centers" as Sally rebuilt.
The red dot is more or less where GGYC and KAYLA are located.
No plans to leave... but we will probably have a lot of clean up to do next week.
Here's a status from 1600 CDT. Notice the back & forth "centers" as Sally rebuilt.
The red dot is more or less where GGYC and KAYLA are located.
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-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
-
Sea Hunt Video
- Posts: 2561
- Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
- Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week
Re: Here we go again
Mike:
Wow
You are really close. Yesterday morning early NHC/NOAA had eye moving over NOLA tomorrow a.m. Then, as your really nice chart shows, speed slowed a lot and it did a couple of "herky jerky" (technical meteorological term 
) moves in a few hours and now NOLA looks good or at least better.
Scary, but if Sally makes another "herky jerky" move east overnight (or within the next 24 hrs) S/V Kalya could experience some Cat. 2 winds and nasty storm surge.
Hunker down and make sure you have your "hurricane medicine" (Guinness) safely secured in a cooler packed with ice.
Wow
You are really close. Yesterday morning early NHC/NOAA had eye moving over NOLA tomorrow a.m. Then, as your really nice chart shows, speed slowed a lot and it did a couple of "herky jerky" (technical meteorological term ) moves in a few hours and now NOLA looks good or at least better. Scary, but if Sally makes another "herky jerky" move east overnight (or within the next 24 hrs) S/V Kalya could experience some Cat. 2 winds and nasty storm surge.
Hunker down and make sure you have your "hurricane medicine" (Guinness) safely secured in a cooler packed with ice.
Fair winds,
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Re: Here we go again
Thanks, Roberto, but Guinness is too fattening for me... on KAYLA, it's lots of Miller Lite and off the boat mostly red wine...
As the beast (aka: bitch?) is moving so slow, we're expecting a bump to at least cat-3 before making landfall.
The bayou at GGYC is currently up about 2.5 feet and could see surges of +4 feet.
At this point, everything is "life"... as in:
"Life is what happens while you're making other plans. It ain't what happens that matters, but how you deal with it."
As the beast (aka: bitch?) is moving so slow, we're expecting a bump to at least cat-3 before making landfall.
The bayou at GGYC is currently up about 2.5 feet and could see surges of +4 feet.
At this point, everything is "life"... as in:
"Life is what happens while you're making other plans. It ain't what happens that matters, but how you deal with it."
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
Re: Here we go again
I fear that my old port of Mobile Bay will be flooded. almost like when Katrina came thru. I hope i am wrong but the amount of rain and wind looks to be excessive. agree that Guinness is a good idea.
Re: Here we go again
Some "good" news is Sally went back down to cat-1...
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
Re: Here we go again
Yep! We got a bit of water rise at GGYC...
Water is up about 3~4 feet from normal level.
All of our docks are under water now.
Water is up about 3~4 feet from normal level.
All of our docks are under water now.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
Re: Here we go again
And the watch and wait continues...
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-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
-
S/V Ethan Grey
- Posts: 166
- Joined: Apr 19th, '19, 06:52
- Location: S/V Ethan Grey - CD 30C
Re: Here we go again
Mike,
Let me know if you need a hand with anything. I’m on the other side of the Rocky Bayou bridge, so literally 5 minutes away. My CD30 is sitting on Eglin at Post’l Point and I have no idea how she’s doing. I’m sure their docks are underwater as well.
-David
Let me know if you need a hand with anything. I’m on the other side of the Rocky Bayou bridge, so literally 5 minutes away. My CD30 is sitting on Eglin at Post’l Point and I have no idea how she’s doing. I’m sure their docks are underwater as well.
-David
David
S/V Ethan Grey
1981 CD 30C, Hull #199
Niceville, FL
CDSOA# 1947
S/V Ethan Grey
1981 CD 30C, Hull #199
Niceville, FL
CDSOA# 1947
Re: Here we go again
David,
Thanks! At this point I think we've things under control. The real "fun" will be the clean up!
I live across the street from GGYC and will go back down in a while to check things again.
Thanks! At this point I think we've things under control. The real "fun" will be the clean up!
I live across the street from GGYC and will go back down in a while to check things again.
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
-
S/V Ethan Grey
- Posts: 166
- Joined: Apr 19th, '19, 06:52
- Location: S/V Ethan Grey - CD 30C
Re: Here we go again
Well the dock at Post’l Point is 1 foot under water. I loosened the dock lines, but I won’t be back to check the boat until the storm has moved on.
David
S/V Ethan Grey
1981 CD 30C, Hull #199
Niceville, FL
CDSOA# 1947
S/V Ethan Grey
1981 CD 30C, Hull #199
Niceville, FL
CDSOA# 1947
Re: Here we go again
I just got back from taking a look...
(that's my son Austin standing on a chopping block that "floated" away from the stove.)
Lots of water and more to come. KAYLA, LEGASEA and the Catalina 22 seem to be doing fine.
Capt Don has tide rollers set up for LEGASEA and KAYLA's spring lines can go another foot or 2.
I'll have to get down there as soon as the water starts to recede to ease the springs down the pilings!
Lots of water and more to come. KAYLA, LEGASEA and the Catalina 22 seem to be doing fine.
Capt Don has tide rollers set up for LEGASEA and KAYLA's spring lines can go another foot or 2.
I'll have to get down there as soon as the water starts to recede to ease the springs down the pilings!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
Re: Here we go again
Hey Capt Hook!
Looks like you may be outta da woods!
Just saw a blurb that Cantore is in Gulfport now!
Looks like you may be outta da woods!
Just saw a blurb that Cantore is in Gulfport now!
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
Re: Here we go again
Yep, we dodged a bullet.
I watching the 9 pm news and it sounds like the track keeps shifting to the east. Hope you don't have problems.
The one good thing is that Sally is not as strong as previously predicted.
I watching the 9 pm news and it sounds like the track keeps shifting to the east. Hope you don't have problems.
The one good thing is that Sally is not as strong as previously predicted.
Capt Hook
s/v Kumbaya
Cape Dory 31, Hull No. 73
New Orleans, LA
s/v Kumbaya
Cape Dory 31, Hull No. 73
New Orleans, LA
Re: Here we go again
Hey! So far, so good... & like you said, cat-1 be much better than cat-2!
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!