Here we go again

Discussions about Cape Dory, Intrepid and Robinhood sailboats and how we use them. Got questions? Have answers? Provide them here.

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Capt Hook
Posts: 357
Joined: Jul 3rd, '15, 21:50
Location: Kumbaya, CD 31, hull no. 73

Here we go again

Post by Capt Hook »

Capt Hook
s/v Kumbaya
Cape Dory 31, Hull No. 73
New Orleans, LA
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mgphl52
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Re: Here we go again

Post by mgphl52 »

It's all Roberto's neck hairs fault... :roll: :roll:
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
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Sea Hunt Video
Posts: 2561
Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week

Re: Here we go again

Post by Sea Hunt Video »

Yes, I acknowledge my neck hairs are at fault. I apologize.

I have some potentially bad news for Florida, including Miami and Niceville.

My intelligence sources report that Jim Cantore (Weather Channel) has booked rooms in Miami and Pensacola for the next two (2) weeks. :D :D :wink: :wink: If anyone can turn a rainstorm into a hurricane while "on air" it's Jimmy C. :D :D

Mike, as I am sure you know, NHC/NOAA is still not good at projecting wind speed/strength along a given path. TD 19 could easily escalate to a TS or H once it gets in the warm Gulf waters and before it reaches the Panhandle.

It looks like most of La. is going to get drenched - exactly what they do not need right now.

We have that same TD 19 approaching us this weekend. It may well be a TS upon reaching Miami. It's at 35 mph right now. Is that why Jimmy C. booked rooms or is it the one still near the Cape Verdes :?: Only Jimmy C. knows. :wink: :wink: :wink:
Fair winds,

Roberto

a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
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mgphl52
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Re: Here we go again

Post by mgphl52 »

Sea Hunt Video wrote:My intelligence sources report that Jim Cantore (Weather Channel) has booked rooms in Miami and Pensacola for the next two (2) weeks.
As long as he's not booking rooms in Destin, I feel a bit safer.
Sure wish he'd book those rooms WAY OUT over open water...
Keep your Guinness supply fully stocked!
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
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gonesail
Posts: 227
Joined: Jun 22nd, '19, 16:39
Location: CD30 MKII FLORIDA

Re: Here we go again

Post by gonesail »

there is another storm coming from African coast next week but the GFC model shows it turning north before hitting any islands or east coast. it may affect Bermuda. here's hoping the season is over after that :roll:
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mgphl52
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Re: Here we go again

Post by mgphl52 »

Hang in there Capt Hook. Looks like Sally wants to visit...
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
User avatar
Sea Hunt Video
Posts: 2561
Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week

Re: Here we go again

Post by Sea Hunt Video »

mgphl52 wrote:Hang in there Capt Hook. Looks like Sally wants to visit...
Like Mike said. It looks like Sally will pass over New Orleans area as either a very strong TS or a Cat. 1 hurricane but it's still several hundred miles away in warm Gulf water so anything is possible. Good luck Captain Hook and all others in the current path of Sally.
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Fair winds,

Roberto

a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
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gonesail
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Joined: Jun 22nd, '19, 16:39
Location: CD30 MKII FLORIDA

Re: Here we go again

Post by gonesail »

the track is now turning Sally a bit to the west.
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Sea Hunt Video
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Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week

Re: Here we go again

Post by Sea Hunt Video »

gonesail wrote:the track is now turning Sally a bit to the west.
If accurate, that is bad news for our friend Captain Hook as it means he will get even more of the "dirty side" of TS (soon to be H) Sally which has the potential to increase to a Cat.2 at time of landfall. As of 1100 hours EDT this morning the eye is projected to pass just west of New Orleans Tuesday morning.

Sadly, Sally has the potential to be far worse than Laura, which was bad enough.

What is it this year with girl names :?: - Paulette, Rene, Laura, Sally. :? :? :?

Conversely, it does bode a little better for our friend Mike near Pensacola. Trade offs, always trade offs.

Good luck to everyone in or near the path of Sally.
Fair winds,

Roberto

a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
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mgphl52
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Re: Here we go again

Post by mgphl52 »

Sally is going to be a pain. While we're forecast for TS winds, the rainfall predictions are huge.
Back in 1995, Opal was my "welcome back to Florida" hurricane in early October. This year we're not quite half way thru September and watching Sally with strong possibility to see Teddy and maybe even Vickie before October gets here.
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
Capt Hook
Posts: 357
Joined: Jul 3rd, '15, 21:50
Location: Kumbaya, CD 31, hull no. 73

Re: Here we go again

Post by Capt Hook »

Roberto,

Could this be more bad news for NOLA?

https://www.nola.com/news/hurricane/art ... 32069.html
Capt Hook
s/v Kumbaya
Cape Dory 31, Hull No. 73
New Orleans, LA
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mgphl52
Posts: 1809
Joined: Feb 6th, '05, 14:15
Location: s/v KAYLA CD 28 #318
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Re: Here we go again

Post by mgphl52 »

Capt Hook wrote:Roberto,

Could this be more bad news for NOLA?

https://www.nola.com/news/hurricane/art ... 32069.html
Grab *EVERYTHING* and RUN LIKE HELL!!!
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
User avatar
Sea Hunt Video
Posts: 2561
Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week

Re: Here we go again

Post by Sea Hunt Video »

Captain Hook:

If "Jimmy C." is in NOLA your best bet is to evacuate :!: :wink: :wink: :wink:

or what Mike said.

Latest updates suggest Sally is tracking a little more to the East of NOLA. Thus, a little less of the 'dirty side" of Sally.

Hang in there Captain Hook, only ten (10) more weeks to end of the season.

TS Vicky just formed and was named and there is another system pushing off the West coast of Africa today :!:

Talk about an "above average" year for weather systems. Yikes :!: :!: :!:
Fair winds,

Roberto

a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Capt Hook
Posts: 357
Joined: Jul 3rd, '15, 21:50
Location: Kumbaya, CD 31, hull no. 73

Re: Here we go again

Post by Capt Hook »

I think we only have one letter left before we go to the Greek alphabet.
Capt Hook
s/v Kumbaya
Cape Dory 31, Hull No. 73
New Orleans, LA
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mgphl52
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Re: Here we go again

Post by mgphl52 »

Capt Hook, You are correct, Wilfred is next and then to the Greeks...
And Sally just went to H status.
Sally_H-01.JPG
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-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
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