Hurricane Season 2018
Moderator: Jim Walsh
- Sea Hunt Video
- Posts: 2561
- Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
- Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week
Hurricane Season 2018
I know "H" season does not begin until 01 June. However, Colorado State recently published its predictions for 2018. They are not good. The thinking right now is that it may not be as bad as 2017 (geez I hope not ) but it is still projected to be bad.
For those who wonder why I worry, this chart should be self-explanatory. New Hampshire looks pretty good. Carl, have you got a spare bunk I have my own sleeping bag, etc.
For those who wonder why I worry, this chart should be self-explanatory. New Hampshire looks pretty good. Carl, have you got a spare bunk I have my own sleeping bag, etc.
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Fair winds,
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Re: Hurricane Season 2018
Were I in your shoes I’d trailer the boat inland to a statistically safe spot. Your trailer is a beautiful piece of gear.
Jim Walsh
Ex Vice Commodore
Ex Captain-Northeast Fleet
CD31 ORION
The currency of life is not money, it's time
Ex Vice Commodore
Ex Captain-Northeast Fleet
CD31 ORION
The currency of life is not money, it's time
-
- Posts: 521
- Joined: Jun 1st, '13, 17:05
- Location: CD 31. #33 "Glissade"
Re: Hurricane Season 2018
Very interesting chart, Roberto.
My Jenn is from New York, which to my surprise has had more storms than her neighboring states.
Glad we moved to New Hampshire, though Hurricane Irene some years back did a lot of expensive damage to bridges, roads and dams, including the dam on our property. Stuff happens.
Terry
My Jenn is from New York, which to my surprise has had more storms than her neighboring states.
Glad we moved to New Hampshire, though Hurricane Irene some years back did a lot of expensive damage to bridges, roads and dams, including the dam on our property. Stuff happens.
Terry
Jennifer & Terry McAdams
Kearsarge, New Hampshire
Mahone Bay, Nova Scotia
CD 31 #33 "Glissade"
Way too many other small boats
Kearsarge, New Hampshire
Mahone Bay, Nova Scotia
CD 31 #33 "Glissade"
Way too many other small boats
-
- Posts: 1307
- Joined: Nov 21st, '05, 08:20
- Location: CD28 Cruiser "Loon" Poorhouse Cove, ME
Re: Hurricane Season 2018
Sure, we have plenty of room! No sleeping bag required. As for New Hampshire having the lowest hurricane probability of the coastal states, it's pretty easy to achieve when you only have 13 miles of coast-line. We present a very small target.
CDSOA Commodore - Member No. 725
"The more I expand the island of my knowledge, the more I expand the shoreline of my wonder"
Sir Isaac Newton
"The more I expand the island of my knowledge, the more I expand the shoreline of my wonder"
Sir Isaac Newton
- Sea Hunt Video
- Posts: 2561
- Joined: May 4th, '11, 19:03
- Location: Former caretaker S/V Bali Ha'i 1982 CD 25D; Hull 69 and S/V Tadpole Typhoon Week
Re: Hurricane Season 2018
As many of us know, hurricane season 2018 is a short 5 weeks away.
Each year NOAA/NHC has consistently improved its tracking and projection of a hurricane (or tropical storm) path. Unfortunately, their ability to project strength (TS, Cat 1, Cat 2, etc.) has not kept pace. Storms inexplicably increase (or decrease) in intensity in a very short time span with no apparent catalyst.
Atmospheric scientists are now starting to learn and understand what may cause these sudden pressure drops and strength increases. This is an interesting article from our local newspaper discussing these new findings and theories:
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather ... 66704.html
As the saying goes "If you want to defeat your enemy you must first know and understand your enemy". For the past 50+ years hurricanes have been my mortal enemy. Sadly, I have never been able to defeat them.
Each year NOAA/NHC has consistently improved its tracking and projection of a hurricane (or tropical storm) path. Unfortunately, their ability to project strength (TS, Cat 1, Cat 2, etc.) has not kept pace. Storms inexplicably increase (or decrease) in intensity in a very short time span with no apparent catalyst.
Atmospheric scientists are now starting to learn and understand what may cause these sudden pressure drops and strength increases. This is an interesting article from our local newspaper discussing these new findings and theories:
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/weather ... 66704.html
As the saying goes "If you want to defeat your enemy you must first know and understand your enemy". For the past 50+ years hurricanes have been my mortal enemy. Sadly, I have never been able to defeat them.
Fair winds,
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Roberto
a/k/a Sea Hunt "The Tadpole Sailor"
CDSOA #1097
________________________________
"I wish to have no Connection with any Ship that does not Sail fast for I intend to go in harm's way." Captain John Paul Jones, 16 November 1778, as quoted in Naval History and Heritage Command, http://www.history.navy.mil
Re: Hurricane Season 2018
"Defeating" a 'cane isn't all that tough... As with many battles, you win by out-maneuvering the enemy.Sea Hunt Video wrote: As the saying goes "If you want to defeat your enemy you must first know and understand your enemy". For the past 50+ years hurricanes have been my mortal enemy. Sadly, I have never been able to defeat them.
I. e.: Get the flock out of the way!
-michael & Toni CDSOA #789
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
s/v KAYLA CD28 #318
2012 FLSTC Heritage Classic
Niceville FL
+30° 30' 24.60", -86° 26' 32.10"
"Just because it worked, doesn't mean it works." -me
No shirt + No shorts = No problem!
Re: Hurricane Season 2018
Minnesota's not even on that list. Oh yeah...winter.
Femme, snuggling in between two CD36's, 'out maneuvering' the recent April blizzard.
Femme, snuggling in between two CD36's, 'out maneuvering' the recent April blizzard.
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Paul
CDSOA Member
CDSOA Member